research

Research

I apply supply chain management and machine learning to humanitarian problems, and bring what works back into industry.

research_interests

Research interests

Post-conflict supply chains

How supply chains recover after war and disaster.

Early warning

Forecasting outbreaks and disasters early enough to act.

AI in crises

When AI can support humanitarian decisions, and how.

Business resilience

Applying humanitarian early-warning methods to industry.

projects

Research projects

01 · IMCI White Paper No. 1 · 2024

supply chainspost-conflictqualitative

Rebuilding the chain: a humanitarian supply chain framework for post-conflict agriculture

A supply chain framework for post-conflict agriculture, built from fieldwork with NGOs in Lebanon.

partner: Lebanese NGOsstatus: preliminary draft
Read the related dissertation summary →

02 · IMCI White Paper No. 2 · 2025

forecastingAI agentspublic health

From outbreaks to enterprise: real-time risk forecasting using AI agents

AI agents that monitor live public-health and environmental data to forecast outbreaks and disasters in South-East Asia.

partner: global humanitarian NGOstatus: in progress

03 · IMCI White Paper No. 3 · 2025

NLPLLMsfundraising

Reading sentiment: AI-enabled sentiment analysis for global disaster fundraising

LLM-based sentiment analysis as a leading indicator of disaster fundraising.

partner: global humanitarian NGOstatus: in progress
notes

Research notes

Shorter research write-ups.

research · 19 Aug 2025 Building a digital should-costing lab: how we uncovered $1 million in manufacturing savings Simulating a supplier’s factory in R to check what a product should really cost, and what that did for procurement negotiations. research · 19 Aug 2025 Introducing supply chain analysis to post-conflict agricultural systems: a preliminary framework from Lebanon A summary of my Manchester MSc dissertation: what stops farm supply chains recovering after war, and a framework for humanitarian actors trying to rebuild them. research · 30 Jun 2023 Measuring regional prosperity: Greggs bakery as an unconventional indicator of economic disparity in the UK GVA and productivity are the usual measures. I tried counting Waitrose and Greggs shops instead, and the sausage rolls had a point.